Thursday, January 8, 2009
Sunday, August 10, 2008
Monday, August 4, 2008
Lets Review, Shall We???
ICE down $10 and XOM down $3, CF down $13(twittered), AGA up $2.73, ESV down $5.50(twittered early)DRYS down $6.77 (twittered). Also some XME and JRCC short. sorry, can't get em all out. I was also short MOS for about four points. I am trying my best to be as interactive as possible here. Do your own due dilly but these continue to be the names and sectors that are working for me.
These were all my long/shorts today, all short actually, except for AGA which I posted yesterday and am holding overnight. They were on the blog either through a post over the weekend, or a twitter and post this morning. I hope you guys had a chance to grab a few names. Let me know how you did? I'd like to think these ideas are helping.
If I wasn't just short the commodity sector I would have thought the market was down 300 points, because they absolutely CRUUUUUUUSHED the sector. That's why I kept AGA overnight. This reminds me of the early days on the fianacials when everybody who was long had that "uh-oh" moment and just said get me the hell out. It had that kind of feel, and these names aren't coming back anytime soon.
I really though the financials would implode as they opened very soft after Meredith Whitney made negative comments about the sector on CNBC this morning. I still think there will be more pain there and will be watching the group carefully for opportunistic shorting set ups. Thain just said "if the world stays the same, banks won't have to raise more capital". First off ,the man is a liar, and when does the world ever stay the same?
Coal, steel, ags and oil. Look out below, but also watch for the vicious upside bounce that's coming.
Posted by
upsidetrader
at
4:28 PM PERMALINK
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Labels: AGA, ags, COAL KOL, drys, esv, ice, jrcc, pcu gld rig xme, steel, xom
Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Afternoon Rally?
I'm long the following
DRYS-99
UYG-31.14
QCOM-45.87
tight stops
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upsidetrader
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12:10 PM PERMALINK
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Sunday, January 13, 2008
DRYS ,EXM,GNK - More Downside Ahead?
These are the names I have been playing from the short side with great success of late. On Thursday the Baltic Dry Shipping Index, a key indicator of shipping rates, fell its most for a single day since 1989. It fell 4.6% or 384 points. The index has now fallen 28% since it peaked in November. This not only indicates the weakness in our economy but could be telegraphing strong weakness globally. It also flags the possibility of a downturn in commodity prices. I don't know if this is a baked in statistic or not and these stocks do seem oversold, but stocks can stay oversold for longer periods. GNK and EXM rallied Friday but closed near there lows for the day. DRYS was on its way to the lows, so I'll be watching this group again this week.
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upsidetrader
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2:27 PM PERMALINK
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About Me
- upsidetrader
- I am a former hedge fund manager, broker and capital markets dude who now trades for his own account. I love what I do. I will try to post some stocks and an occasional chart that looks attractive for entry.I will also try to point out the idiocy of conventional wisdom and the lack of value added by the mainstream financial media. These postings should not be viewed as recommendations.














